Wednesday, March 31, 2010
What the constitution permits
There is no requirement on a Prime Minister to resign after losing a majority. John Major didn't, Ted Heath took 2 days after the election to resign in 1974 whilst coalition talks took place with the Liberals (talks that failed). British history is littered with examples of majorities lost at elections but governments continuing in office.
So it is odd that it comes as a surprise to the media that Brown may continue in office if no one party wins a majority in the coming election. As I have pointed out before, this is perfectly constitutional. It may not be liked by the people, it may feel to many that it is not in the spirit of democracy, but it is legally correct. Alas, that's what our written constitution has given us. It should of course be changed. After an election, the Commons should be allowed to vote for who is PM, rather than having a summons to the Palace.
What all this does is highlight the need to overhaul our constitution and have it written down.
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Newcastle update
I now learn that Cllr Forbes in not up for election this year, which makes me wonder what will happen to his local vote. My spies tell me that not a single person canvassed mentioned the name of the other 2 Labour councillors in the ward. Seems as though profiles win prizes!
Tuesday, March 30, 2010
The return of Blair
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Monday, March 29, 2010
Clapometer and blood on the floor (not)
The important point for Lib Dems is that we were there at the top table, and were treated equally. The two-party bias was knocked for six by that.
Anyway, we did not have an entirely blood free day. Kevan Jones, Minister for defence, was ripped limb from limb by Gurkha campaigner Joanna Lumley. He's lying in the Lumley morgue next to Phil Woolas.
Anyway, back to the debate. The coverage I have seen on BBC and Sky is that Vince was the winner.
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The most challenging Focus delivery round on the planet
From there I headed over to the Broom Lane/Cornmoor Road area. On the latter road in particular, the drives are long. I mean, really, really long. This street started out in the late Victorian period as large allotments on which people built bungalows. It was all done through an Victorian allotment society. Quite a few of the bungalows are still there but many of the houses are now very large and many back gardens have been built on.
So what started as small houses with very big gardens is now quite an exclusive area with some substantial houses. And it means long, long drives. They all got their Focus newsletters in the end. And I had some interesting conversations with people about the drains, the history of Cornmoor Road and why someone who normally votes Labour has decided to switch to us because she doesn't like the current MP.
Some 260 houses in the Broom Lane/Cornmoor Rd patch and 120 on the Cedars patch (the latter patch I can do in little over half an hour.) I was wondering if any of my Lib Dem readers know of more challenging patches. No doubt I will be told stories of having to drive between houses in rural settings where there are more sheep than Focus leaflets. Nevertheless, my legs need time to recover before going out canvassing tonight.
Saturday, March 27, 2010
Photos and Focus
I did however get another candidate video edited today. I think I have about 8 left to do from last week's visit to London. Tomorrow however I probably won't be video editing. I've got all those Focus newsletters to deliver instead!
My first video to hit 150,000 viewings
Friday, March 26, 2010
A trade union or a surrogate passenger safety agency
Don't get me wrong, I am no fan of this government, but neither are the RMT. Their strike over fears for passenger safety means they are posing as a surrogate agency for the protection of passenger safety. There are other organisations officially carrying out that role. The RMT's self-appointment to the position is nothing other than a smokescreen for the RMT's leadership to pursue a political agenda of their own.
The result of these strikes will be fewer people using rail and more vehicles on the roads. And of course, less business for the railways means less cash to pay the wages of those working on the railways.
Ironically, I am sitting on a train as I write this. After a week of filming in London I'm heading home. With the rail strikes now likely to happen, I've decided to do no more trips to London before the general election. That does of course mean I have more time to spend on campaigning on my home patch. It seems each cloud does have a silver lining!
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I wonder what the dinosaurs think of that?
Nevertheless, it would be interesting to hear what the Labour dinosaurs have to say about Alistair Darling's comments that a re-elected Labour government will make cuts rivalling those of Mrs Thatcher herself. Given that the Thatcher government failed to reduce the overall share of our wealth spent by the state, it could be argued that Darling is setting himself an easy target.
But for those Labour MPs who foam at the mouth at the first mention of Margaret Thatcher, Darlings comments must be a shock to the system. I'll be watching and listening with interest.
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Thursday, March 25, 2010
Email newsletter for constituents - edition 59
The advantage of having a big email list is that I can produce much more up to date information about what's happening locally. The timescale for a leaflet can be measured perhaps in days, more likely in weeks. With an email newsletter, we can send out news stories which will be yesterday's news by the end of the week. It also allows for a much easier two-way flow of information - my inbox now has a large number of emails from residents replying to efocus by raising other issues.
Anyway, we are already working on edition number 60 which should be ready in a couple of weeks' time. And we hope for have some links to our latest videos and audios on it.
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Wednesday, March 24, 2010
Heading to Westminster to shoot some videos
I watched the Chancellor present the budget and decided that the rabbit out of the hat moment was the agreement with Belize to crackdown on tax evasion! A nice bit of political drama and comedy combined but not greatly relevant to the majority of people. It does bring me on to a point about my constituency of Blaydon. The Tory from Tunbridge Wells who is aiming to save his deposit in the constituency has written a new post on his blog. That in itself is news as it is not a site updated everyday. He has challenged the Labour MP to say whether or not he gets any funding from Unite and if so, whether or not he will refuse to take the cash.
I personally have no idea about Unite's funding arrangements with Mr Anderson, but if the last election is anything to go by, it was private business that was bankrolling Mr Anderson's election campaign. He got a donation of £5000 from a firm of solicitors - Thompsons - who have made a fortune out of miners' claims for industrial diseases. Not bad for a "socialist" opponent of the capitalist system.
Maybe the Tunbridge Tory would care to tell everyone whether or not be has received Ashcroft cash. My guess is that he hasn't as the money only goes to seats that are winnable for he Tories. That means the cash is well out of reach for the Tunbridge Tory. Still, it's worth asking the question and also worth asking if he were offered Ashcroft gold, would he refuse it?
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Tuesday, March 23, 2010
The GMTV candidate in Lib Dem target seat
Ms De Piero is the ex-political editor of GMTV but has no apparent links with the constituency and lives in London. Clearly a case of using a constituency as a stepping stone to a career in Parliament.
Jason Zadronzy is our candidate there and has been going great guns over the past couple of years. Let's hope the good people of Ashfield vote to keep Ms De Piero on the morning tv slot rather than occupying a seat in the Commons.
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The Conservatives' magic pot of money
Take for example this so-called policy: "Conservatives will "protect spending on the NHS but cut the salaries of Government ministers and cut the number of MPs."
So, cutting ministerial salaries and the number of MPs will free up the billions needed to protect the NHS budget? Have the Conservatives been guilty of putting the decimal point in the wrong place again? Their proposal at most would save a few million quid. Their spending commitment runs to billions. And just how will cutting the number of MPs save any cash at all in the coming Parliament? A cut to the number of MPs could only come into effect at the election afterwards. It seems the Conservatives either have a magic pot of money that keeps refilling itself with cash from nowhere, or they are treating the British public as if they were stupid.
Here's another interesting spending plan. Anyone going into an NHS hospital would be able to have a room of their own. How many MPs will they have to get rid of to pay for that? The proposal would mean a restructuring of every hospital at the cost of billions of pounds. It would also mean fewer beds as individual rooms take up far more space than beds in wards. So for a vast outlay, under the Conservatives even fewer patients would be treated.
Then of course there is the Tory plan to turn marriage into a tax avoidance scheme. How many billions will that cost?
Let's just hope that all this shallow Tory drivel falls apart under the scrutiny of a general election.
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Monday, March 22, 2010
Conference - The Movie (starring Chris Huhne)
This is the programme I filmed for the party about conference. Starring Chris Huhne, it is the inside story of conference. So if you were not there, have a look to see what you were missing. And if you were there, have a look to see what I captured you doing!
I finished editing the video yesterday. It's on the party's YouTube site rather than mine.
Watch for rabbits out of hats
So, I am wondering what rabbits will be extracted from the political hat by Darling on Wednesday in the budget. He has less room for tricks this time but I wouldn't put it past Labour to announce some incredible scheme to grab the headlines. If past practice is anything to go by, it will be a re-announcement of a scheme that has already been agreed with the cash quietly extracted from something else. We shall see.
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Saturday, March 20, 2010
Just finished my next Focus
The useful point about Focus is that I have been given more than enough news to fill an A3 Focus. Some stories will have to be held over to later editions. I'll also get as much of the material I have been given into the email newsletters I produce for residents of Gateshead. Hopefully I will get the next one written tomorrow. Watch this space.
As for my plan to curl up tonight with a history book to catch up on my reading - forget it! Reading and writing about wheelie bins, removal of rubbish, school closures and how the Conservatives can't win here got in the way of that!
Not so "Blaydon born" as was thought
However, I was intrigued by the claim about being "Blaydon born". The reason I raise an eyebrow about that is because he says on his website that he was born in Newcastle. Whilst Blaydon and Newcastle face each other across the Tyne, being born in Newcastle is not quite the same as being born in Blaydon!
Perhaps his slogan should be "Born in Newcastle and abandoned Blaydon years ago, now based in Tunbridge Wells". It's a bit of a mouthful but has a great ring to it! Another slogan could be "Lives closer to Brussels than Blaydon". I'm sure that would look good in a leaflet.
Mind you, despite the Tunbridge Wells Tory's long absence, he does claim to be a local candidate and criticises our candidate for not being local! (Neil Bradbury lives in Prudhoe, which borders Blaydon.) Short of a shifting of the tectonic plates which went unnoticed whilst I was editing videos or forking manure onto my allotment, I was under the impression that Prudhoe is decidedly more local than Tunbridge Wells.
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Friday, March 19, 2010
Taking leave of their senses
The RMT is a different kettle of fish. They were kicked out of Labour years ago. But they behave like a bunch of dinosaurs.
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Interesting campaign results from Newcastle
Kenton was more interesting however. The tabloid has gone out there and members are getting rather excited at the response. They are getting far more replies than usual and I hear on the grapevine that the before and after phone canvass has produced some very interesting results. The calls were targeted at those undecided between Labour and Lib Dems. As a result of the tabloid, those moving from undecided to Lib Dem has increased. Organisers won't say by how much, but the smiles say it all!
I shared the train back from Birmingham on Sunday with James Hollis who is our candidate for Westgate ward in Newcastle. He is young and enthusiastic so that needs to be factored in to any discussion of what is happening there. Still, what could be happening there is interesting. It should be a safe Labour ward. Interestingly, the existence of Nick Forbes, uber New Labour leader on the city council and councillor for Westgate is a positive factor for, well for Nick Forbes. A high profile seems to do him no harm. But it seems Labour voters will back him personally. Voting Labour in the general election on the same day seems to be getting a definite NO from the same people!
Anyway, I'll keep you posted on how things are going here.
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Northern Democrat March 2010 no. 49
Northern Democrat No 49 Mar 10
Bob Russell MP - the movie
I'm currently editing the video I shot with Chris Huhne at Conference over the weekend and hope to have it ready for sometime over the next few days. Watch this space.
Wednesday, March 17, 2010
10pm and still a queue for the print machine
Plenty of activity going on. What mad life I lead! Now I have to join the queue for the printing machine.
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Social media at the Council
What got my attention however was a proposal the officers raised with me about setting up online petitions and surveys on the Council website. This would be a great step forward and definitely something I hope the council decides to implement.
It was also an opportunity to press forward some ideas of my own. I am keen for full council and cabinet meetings to be recorded and broadcast via the council website. No need for video but an audio recording would suffice. It won't need lots of extra, costly equipment. It could be done very cheaply. I also suggested the leader of the council should do a monthly podcast. Whether or not my ideas will be taken up is something I will, no doubt, report on via a podcast or YouTube video!
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A bit more fun at the expense of the Tory from Tunbridge Wells
What Marilynn didn't realise was that the Tory is from Tunbridge Wells, not exactly a neighbourhood in or close to Blaydon constituency. (More than 400km separate the two areas.) I understand Marilynn is now heading home to get back on the phone to tell the resident precisely where Tory "Blaydon Born And Bred" Candidate actually lives!
Anyway, we did our tour of the ward, took our photos, met the headteacher of Sacred Heart School in Byermoor village and got some fresh air in Sunniside and Byermoor Parks. Then I headed back home where I found the local delivery company had put through the door leaflets for cavity wall insulation, local taxis and, yes, the Conservative candidate. The only problem is that it is the same Conservative leaflet that was delivered last week by a commercial company. As I wrote recently, Conservative leaflets are like buses: you wait ages for one to come along, and then a load arrive at the same time!
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Tuesday, March 16, 2010
Lib Dem video with music specially written
A first for me. A group called Courage Playing Blind wrote and performed the music for this video I shot for Ian Lindley, candidate in North Durham. I've never worked on a video with a music soundtrack before so this is a bit raw and looking at it today, having edited it yesterday, there are bits I feel I should have done differently and I need to sort the sound levels more effectively.
Nevertheless, as a first stab it has been both interesting and challenging. The song is called "Wasted Youth", all about the need for change.
Monday, March 15, 2010
Brown says he will stay on - are we meant to be surprised?
I did speculate recently in this blog that were Labour to lose their majority at the election without the Conservatives winning, his position could be strengthened rather than weakened against elements in his own party. His tenacious hold on the leadership in recent years should have made his announcement today that he will fight on unsurprising. We could however get into some interesting constitutional waters if Labour slips to be the second party but with no one having a majority.
In that instance there is no constitutional requirement for the Prime Minister and government to resign. (The moral requirement is something else.) In February 1974, Ted Heath hung on for a couple of days after the election whilst he tried to negotiate with the Liberals a deal that would at least keep him as Prime Minister. It was doomed to failure. And in 1923, Stanley Baldwin continued as Prime Minister for six weeks after the election. His Conservative party was the largest in the Commons. The election however saw them losing their Commons majority. After 6 weeks and a lost vote in the Commons, Baldwin resigned and Ramsay MacDonald, leader of the Labour Party, the second largest party, became Prime Minister without another general election.
And in the first election of 1910, the landslide Liberal majority was wiped out and Liberals and Conservatives were level pegging in the Commons. Nevertheless, Liberal Prime Minister Herbert Asquith stayed in his job.
The point is, a prime minister who loses a majority in a general election can stay on in power if no other party has taken a majority of seats. So the possibility of Labour continuing in office even as a minority second party under Brown is not an unrealistic outcome in May. And given Brown's desire to hold on to his job at whatever cost, even the application of a crowbar to the clenched, clunking fist may not be enough to loosen his grip on the reins of power.
Ashok Kumar MP RIP
I remember the Langbaugh by-election in November 1991 when he was first elected, winning his seat from the Conservatives. The Conservative candidate was Michael Bates who came from Gateshead and who had stood a few times for Gateshead Council.
I have interesting memories of driving around the constituency with Gerald Vernon-Jackson in a Transit van delivering thousands of leaflets. We would start first thing in the morning and keep going til we dropped in the evening.
Ashok Kumar lost in 1992 but this short tenure as an MP was overturned when he won back the seat in 1997 and held it comfortably ever since. The constituency was one of those which needs to be won by the Conservatives but looks unlikely to go back to Cameron's lot this time.
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This must have been a first - conference media coverage
It was after all a successful conference, even if I did see most of it from behind a lens!
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Sunday, March 14, 2010
Led up the carbon footpath
Councillor Mick McNestry is Labour cabinet member for the environment. At last council he was talking about an award Gateshead had received. Something to do with cutting carbon footprints. Except that Mick referred to cutting "carbon footpaths" instead. He was initially unaware of his mistake and looked a bit bemused when people started laughing at what was supposed to be a serious point.
Fortunately for Mick he saw the funny side of it when his mistake was explained to him. At the risk of destroying Mick's standing in his own group, I just want to say I rather like the bloke and get on well with him. But his error was quite amusing. It wasn't that he was trying to lead us up the carbon footpath. Maybe at a future meeting he will repeat the mistake - or make a carbon copy of it!
I'm trying to think of ways of getting in carbonara but perhaps that's enough of that!
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Storming speech from Nick
I am now on the train having just left Birmingham so I won't be home for three hours or more. I have over 1000 photos to sort for candidates and over 6 hours of footage in the can. All that needs sorting as well. The programme I filmed with Chris Huhne seemed to go well but I will reserve final judgement until after it's edited. If it comes out okay, we'll have it on the blogs and websites by the end of the week.
Meanwhile, I am going to get some kip. Wake me up when I'm back in Geordieland!
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Saturday, March 13, 2010
How much!? The cost of going to conference
So having just finished filming in the glee club, I went to the bar and, feeling very dehydrated from running around all day, I ordered 2 large fresh orange drinks. That cost me £7.20. I sometimes think conference hotels take the piss (and our money). I was too thirsty to argue.
Anyway, watch this space for the Chris Huhne conference video. It should be ready this coming week.
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Friday, March 12, 2010
Off to sunny Birmingham
Before I started working for the Lib Dems in London in my various guises, conferences were always leisurely affairs for me. Once I took on the HQ role, suddenly I was occupied full time at these half yearly jamborees. When I left Cowley St last year I expected conferences to lighten up a bit for me. And then I launched my business selling video and photography services. My diary for this conference is therefore busier than ever before!
On leaving Cowley St, I also got agreement that I would continue to run the candidate photo ops at conference, in a voluntary capacity. I have three this weekend, with Nick Clegg, Vince Cable and Chris Huhne, all on Saturday.
Anyone at conference wanting other photography, video or audio recording services can catch up with me. I'm based in Hall 5 of the ICC. Or just watch out for the guy running around with the cameras!
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Tuesday, March 09, 2010
The Conservative local bus service leaflet delivery system
Today, I can report that a delivery company delivered a further two copies. Very kind of the Tories to keep repeating the same message and send us the same leaflet but one copy is enough. The rest are in the recycling box.
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Shock as Labour peer agrees to obey law
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Sunday, March 07, 2010
My first music video
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Saturday, March 06, 2010
Afghan Groundhog Day
It is of course all a bit of a groundhog day. Recall Brown's visit to Afghanistan in October 2007, coinciding with the Conservative conference. It was clear the visit was to knock the Tories off the headlines and was meant to be the springboard for the launch of a general election campaign. The only problem was he bottled out of calling the election. And as we all know now, the election will be announced shortly.
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Friday, March 05, 2010
It's amusing who you bump into in the Asda zepplin hangar
Anyway, by coincidence, at the next till to ours was a certain Labour Councillor from Gateshead. I waved. He nodded back and then left as quickly as possible. I have that effect on people! However he didn't leave fast enough for me to not spot the 4 bottles of Alberto Balsam he was buying. Not quite sure why he needed 4! Slapped wrists however. He didn't have a reusable shopping bag so took a disposable one instead. Not so good for the environment.
Anyway, here's to hoping your hair stays super clean!
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Labour choose new candidate
Ian has been one of the figures on Gateshead Council leading the battle to beat ill health caused by smoking. Soon-to-be-former MP David Clelland spoke in the Commons from a much more pro-smoking position. I pointed out in a Gateshead Council debate on a motion calling for MPs to support anti-smoking legislation last year that there was something of a contradiction between Mr Clelland and his own troops on the council. I came in for heavy criticism from Labour councillors when I described the motion, which happened to be moved by Ian Mearns, as a shot across the bows of Mr Clelland. Perhaps it was actually a shot right into the bows of Mr Clelland. He's now going.
We are not going to give Ian an easy ride in the election. We are second in the constituency and my colleague Cllr Frank Hindle is our candidate for the coming contest. If Ian is elected, let's hope it will lead to an improvement in both the health of local residents and the representation of the borough in Parliament.
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Thursday, March 04, 2010
The Mick Henry Life President Constitutional Amendment
And it is on that point that disagreements emerged again this afternoon. Labour have introduced a system in which a two-thirds majority is needed in council to sack the Leader. We argue that this is excessive and a simple majority should be used. If it's good enough for a vote of no confidence in the Prime Minister, it's good enough for a leader of a council.
The effect of requiring a two-thirds vote is that in Gateshead Labour could lose an election, but as long as they have over a third of the seats, the Leader, and therefore Labour, will be able to continue to in office and run the council in the face of a Lib Dem majority on the authority. Hence the nickname we gave to the amendment, the Mick Henry Life President Amendment (Mick Henry being leader of the council). Alas, Mick jokingly said he liked the idea of being life president. The amendment is also dubbed the Mick Henry Longevity clause.
We did have an amendment on this but it was ruled out of order by the Mayor. Nevertheless we could still speak to the report which I did, despite repeated interruptions by Mick Henry. Given my previous comments on being interrupted by the Leader, my thanks go to Mick for his efforts to raise my profile within my group.
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Wednesday, March 03, 2010
The death of an old generation of politician
He will be a loss for two reasons. He was greatly educated and widely read, a type of person of whom we need more in politics. But he was also a great platform performer, an approach which fell out of favour in the days of tv news soundbites and 24 hour news coverage.
Yet, with the decentralisation of communications created by the internet, platform performers like Michael Foot will find a new niche. The misfortune for Foot was that he was both too late and too soon for his time.
We have lost a great speaker and, in contrast to so much in politics today, we have lost someone who passionately believed in something, even though I do not necessarily share all those same beliefs.
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The boxing match of PMQs
In terms on the contest between Lady Harriet and failed boy wonder of the Conservatives, I think Hague was ahead on points. But the Ashcroft issue is certainly going to dog the Conservatives. And for good reason too.
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Monday, March 01, 2010
25,000 council jobs to go
Job losses are common across authorities of all political persuasions. The main reason is simply that there is less money in the coming year for local government to spend. The biggest drop in income is due to the government reducing what is given to councils to spend. Given that for every four pounds spent by councils, three come from central government, any cut by ministers to the overall level of grants awarded to councils will have serious consequences.
Secondly, the income councils receive from other sources have been hit by the recession. Most have capital reserves that previously paid good interest. Nearly every council earned interest on their revenue balances. But interest rates are now next to nothing. Income from commercial property has also gone down. There has, after all, been a recession. So cash sources have been drying up.
The other main source is council tax. Given that central government will only allow limited rises, and council tax payers can stand only so much in terms of tax demands, council tax alone cannot take the strain caused by the loss of other revenue.
So, budgets have to be cut. Labour postures that spending will not be cut yet to protect the recovery. Their posturing is of course completely artificial. They have already started the cuts. They may not be as bad as what is to come, but they are still happening. There needs to be a bit of honesty from Labour about that.
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Heading home with a stack of videos
I have a whole stack of videos to edit from this trip which will keep me going for the next week. Also needed this week is the next edition of Parliamentary Campaigner. For non-Lib Dems reading this, it is a campaign newsletter I edit for Lib Dem Parliamentary Candidates. It needs to be done for Friday. Sadly, I'm not expecting to get out much over the coming days!
I have however timed my train to get me back in time for the Gateshead Lib Dem council group meeting at 6pm tonight. We have John Robinson, boss of the council's waste management system, speaking to us tonight to update us on arrangements for the forthcoming waste disposal system. Should be interesting and not something I want to miss.
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What if?....Cameron fails
Having seen the perception of his party shift from being an election winner to one in which Cameron may remain Leader of the Opposition, the right wing of his party may see the chance to strike. They have remained silent (or largely so) in the face of Cameron's so-called modernisation of the Tories. Occasionally they get tossed a bit of true blue Tory meat (eg turning marriage into a tax avoidance scheme) but generally they have looked on Cameron as the Tory Trojan horse who will get them inside government. If he fails to deliver that, and fails badly (coming second in terms of votes means doing badly) he could be for the chop. The Tory right, having stomached his modernisation for long enough, may well agitate for his removal.
The issue then is, will the Conservatives enter a bout of internal war or pull together under Cameron? Do they delay the day of Cameron's reckoning as a second election is a strong possibility?
Interesting times ahead.
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