Tuesday, December 16, 2025

Nuremburg

We had a half day off from farming and politics today. Instead we headed to Newcastle to see the Nuremburg film before it is no longer shown. There were three of us in the cinema - me, David and a bloke who sat at the far end of the theatre away from us. The film itself was quite absorbing and interesting. It clearly demonstrates the dangers posed to society by individuals within it who wish to destroy democracy and grab power for themselves. Nuremburg put the Nazis on trial. Let's hope 80 years later we haven't forgotten the lessons.

After watching the film, we went on a shoe shopping trip. When I got to the last full council meeting in November, I discovered the sole of my shoe had split. And with a funeral coming up on Friday which I will be attending, I had no choice but to part with some cash for a new pair of shoes. I can't complain about the old pair. I got 16 years of wear out of them. And they will be repaired shortly.

Council by-election analysis - Labour's meltdown gets worse

I thought Labour's position through the autumn could not get worse. Well, I was wrong. Typically Labour had been losing half their share of the vote. Now they are losing three quarters in some contests. Pity the Labour candidates who have been given the poison chalice of standing in a council by-election knowing they are heading for an absolute drubbing. Meanwhile, the Greens continue to show no significant progress in the groundwar. Meanwhile, the Lib Dems were 3 seats short of a full complement in the contests held last week, though this is an increase in the number of candidates compared to the last time these wards were contested. The good news for the Lib Dems was that they continued to gain seats.

There was a reasonable sized crop of by-elections last week so lets start with Penyrheol in Caerphilly.

  • This was a Plaid Cymru seat where the Welsh Nationalists already had a firm hold on the ward. They hold is now even firmer, rising by 6% to a luxuriously comfortable 60%.
  • Reform came in 2nd but their vote share at 27% is towards the bottom of their usual range of 25-35%.
  • 3rd placed Labour dropped from a reasonable 24% to a mere 7%. In other words, they were close to losing three quarters of their vote share.
  • Coming in 4th place, the Conservatives dropped from 10% to 4%. Stoney ground for the Conservatives here.
  • Bringing up the rear, the Lib Dems were battling in a ward where they had not previously fielded a candidate. Stoney ground for the Lib Dems as well.
The key point about this result is that putting in a strong local campaign can see off Reform. In this instance it was PC putting in the effort in the ground campaign. Meanwhile, yet again there is no Green candidate.

Whitburn and Blackburn, West Lothian Council
  • Reform's first victory in an election in Scotland, they took 32%, towards the higher level of their current bandwith. Up to now, Reform by-election winners were nonexistent. They have now broken through the Reform glass ceiling. Remember, Scotland used single transferable vote in local elections but this was not enough to stop Reform.
  • The SNP were second but despite STV, they were unable to capitalise on Labour's ongoing meltdown.
  • Labour were defending the seat but came in 3rd place, with 17% and only 4% ahead of an independent.
  • There were 8 candidates in total in this by-election. Cons, Lib Dems, Greens and another independent were just footnotes in this contest.
Seaton, East Devon Council
  • The Lib Dems in Devon are on a roll. I read on Mark Pack's blog that they have won 13 by-elections in Devon in a row. That total includes this contest where the Lib Dems took another seat from the Conservatives, with 41%.
  • Reform came second on 31%, beaten back by the strong showing of the Lib Dems. As with Caerphilly with PC, it demonstrates that Reform can be beaten when there is a strong campaign against them.
  • Defending Conservatives were in 3rd place with 21%. In come contests, the winner got less than this. Kemi Badenoch has experienced a slender rise in her poll ratings but it was of no help in Seaton. 
  • Notice the lack of both Labour and the Greens. The Green surge is now a flop.
Redhall and Lingfield, Darlington
  • This one is a bit closer to home for me. It was in the North East, my home region.
  • A Reform gain from Labour, giving them their first councillor in Darlington. At 37%, they were 2% above their usual bandwith. 
  • Lib Dems came joint second on 17% in a ward that is new territory for them. This is a reasonable performance given this was a standing start.
  • The Conservatives matched the Lib Dem performance to the exact vote (both got 157). What neither the Conservatives nor Lib Dems managed to do was to established themselves as the challengers to Reform in the ward. That was the bonus that helped Reform to a comfortable win.
  • Labour, the defending party, came in 4th though they weren't that far behind (they got 152). Nevertheless, coming 4th shows how extensive is the Labour meltdown. Last time they had 54%, this time their vote was more like a rapidly melting glacier, down 37% to 17%.
  • Greens on 10% and an Independent on 1% brought up the rear.
Armitage with Handsacre, Lichfield
  • Hold onto your seats everyone! This one is for the history books. The Conservatives held on and did so comfortably with 47%. The Conservatives live to fight another day (just).
  • Reform clocked up 2nd place with 32%, again towards the top end of their typical performance.
  • Labour at 9%, Lib Dems on 7% and Greens on 5% were little more than spectators from a distance. It is possible that the Conservatives had managed to squeeze the other parties in the battle to beat Reform. A rare example of the Conservatives playing the squeeze vote card effectively.
There were 9 by-elections last Thursday and I still have to work my way through 4 of them. That's a job for the coming days.

Saturday, December 13, 2025

Swalwell action day

 

Another Saturday and therefore another Gateshead Lib Dem action day. This time it was in Swalwell. I took a patch with 211 doors and delivered them in 40 minutes. While this sounds impressive, it should be pointed out that the patch I did was predominantly terraces with no front gardens. A bit of a doddle!

I then used the opportunity to go to Birtley North and finish a patch I had started delivering last Saturday. Lots of gardens and gates to get past in this patch so not as easy as Swalwell.

Cutting cake at the Tynesider

 

The cake that Gateshead Lib Dems had made as a replica of the derelict but still standing Flyover was moved to the Tynesider pub last night where Lib Dem Leader in Gateshead, Ron Beadle, gave Labour a lesson on how to demolish a structure! Cake was handed out to the pub's customers and Ron was called to the DJ's box to give an impromptu speech along the lines of Labour being unable to organise anything! (I put if politely.)

Friday, December 12, 2025

Let him eat cake

 

The Gateshead flyover closed to traffic a year ago today. The closure was an emergency measure because the 1960s structure was found to be unsound and bits were dropping off the edge. Labour Leader of Gateshead Council, Martin Gannon, told the BBC in March that the concrete eyesore would be demolished by the end of the year. Alas, with only 19 days left, it's looking like Martin's prediction is going to be somewhat off target.

To mark the anniversary of the closure and non-demolition, Gateshead Lib Dems had a cake made in the image of the flyover. Lib Dem Leader of the opposition Ron Beadle cut the cake in front of local journalists (who were the first to taste it.) Behind him, still standing, was the actual flyover.

The cake has now been taken to the Tynesider on Gateshead High Street. Lib Dems will be there tonight to help demolish and eat it. Martin Gannon is invited. We'll let him eat cake.

Thursday, December 11, 2025

Safely predicted

 

I was in the Lib Dem office today to do a bit of printing. We have a Gateshead Lib Dem media event coming up tomorrow in Gateshead so the printing was for a handout flyer. We will be marking a year since the Gateshead Flyover was closed. Gateshead Labour leader Martin Gannon said in March that "I can safely predict [the Flyover] will be gone by the end of this year." (BBC 18th March 2025) It is, of course, still there as a grandiose landmark paying tribute to 1960s concrete architecture. With only 20 days of the year left, Martin's prediction may just miss the target.

Meanwhile, I am avoiding the temptation to safely predict that Martin will be gone at the local elections in May next year. 

Meeting Robo Dog

 

Yesterday at Gateshead Civic Centre there was a briefing for councillors on equipment that can be used to help older people wth dementia continue to live at home rather than go into a care facility. While most of the equipment had a passing resemblance to remote controls, ipads and mobile phones, my attention was drawn to this little critter which I dubbed Robo Dog. It is designed for people now suffering from dementia but previously had a pet dog. Robo Cat is also available. Apparently Robbo Cat can purr but not claw the furniture. No feeding needed and no need to clean up puddles and poo. 

I haven't kept dogs for over 40 years but I currently have two cats (called Bug and Eve) which do claw the furniture and need a constant supply of cat meat and water. I wonder if they can learn from Robo Cat on how to behave. Alas, I don't believe there are any sheep or goat versions!

Wednesday, December 10, 2025

Beating the flu bug

 

Last night we had the Gateshead West Lib Dem dinner at the Soho Tavern in Kibblesworth. Throughout the day I received a steady stream of messages from people apologising for not being able to make it to the dinner. The culprit was the flu bug that is circulating at the moment. Nevertheless, some of us made it to the restaurant. An excellent meal.





Monday, December 08, 2025

Blast from the past

 

While sorting some papers in my office at home recently, we came across this blast from the past. It was my election leaflet from April 1992 when I stood in Hexham, then the neighbouring constituency to where I lived in Gateshead. The haircut with a  left parting did not survive the election for long. The parting shifted to the middle. A few years later, the whole style changed again to what I have now - short with no parting. Sadly, the colour changed from brunette to grey, or as we prefer to say, silver! The good news is I still have the tie! The bad news is that I am slightly more enlarged around the waist so the suit had to go! It is a bit of a shock to the system to think this election was a third of a century ago. There are members of the Lib Dem group, and others aspiring to join us as Lib Dem councillors on Gateshead Council, who weren't even born when I went down to defeat in Hexham.

Beamish comes to Sunniside

 

The next meeting of Sunniside History Society will be on 7th January 2026. A speaker from the museum will give a talk about the recently added attractions, particularly in the 1950s town. As usual, all residents are welcome.

Saturday, December 06, 2025

Birtley north action day

 

Another Saturday and another Gateshead Lib Dem action day. Today we were in Birtley North and Lamesley to deliver the latest Focus. Deliveries will continue over the next few days.



Friday, December 05, 2025

RIP Andy

 

It was a sad day today for Gateshead Liberal Democrats. Our former chair and treasurer, Andy Coleman, passed away suddenly in November, aged only 48. His funeral was today. Andy had been a key activist over the past few years. He did not want to be a councillor but the focus of his activities was within the party itself. Rather than be a candidate, he did the job of election agent. He was an organiser, a person who took on important roles thereby freeing up the councillors to campaign.

I remember at my wedding over two years ago, he took on the task of organising various events including ensuring the prosecco was poured and everyone had a glass.

Andy is pictured above, 4th from the left in the photo above taken at North East Lib Dem regional conference last year. At 6ft 2 inches he stood out in a crowd.


By-election analysis: gain, loss, holds

Yesterday's council by-elections were a mixed crop. Lib Dems had a gain, a loss and 2 holds. The overall picture is unchanged from last week - Labour and the Conservatives are doing appallingly badly, the momentum is still behind Reform, the Greens barely registered (but they inadvertently helped Reform win in one contest) and the Lib Dems, as previously, had a mixed night. So here are the details.

Exmouth Halsdon in East Devon

  • A Lib Dem hold though with a 4% drop in vote share. Nevertheless, the Lib Dems saw off a Reform challenge.
  • Reform stood for the first time and jumped into 2nd place.
  • The Conservatives came in 3rd. In most by-elections where they stood recently, their share of the vote has typically halved. This was not the case in this by-election. The Conservatives dropped from 30% to 26%. Given what has happened to them in other recent contests, East Devon must have brought them a small dose of cheer.
  • The Greens did not stand last time but in this by-election, they decided to field a candidate who took 10%. Their appearance may have been the caused, at least in part, of the small drop in the Lib Dem share.
  • Note the absence of a Labour candidate. Are Labour generally struggling to find candidates?
Winkleigh in Torridge
  • A Lib Dem gain from the Conservatives with a modest 10% majority and an 8% increase in the share of the vote.
  • Reform were 2nd having not previously stood. They took 33% of the vote, towards the upper end of what they typically get in council by-elections (25-35%). Their failure to win is likely to be the result of the Lib Dems soaking up Labour, Green and possibly some Conservative voters.
  • The Conservatives came 3rd and last, having started in 1st place. Their vote share halved, something that is now a regular occurrence in council by-elections.
Tudor in Watford
  • An area where the Lib Dems are very active, and the result shows it.
  • A Lib Dem hold with an increased share of the vote and over half the votes cast. This was despite there being 4 other candidates.
  • Reform had previously stood and had taken 10%. This time they added 18%. At 28% they were at the lower end of typical Reform expectations.
  • The Conservatives came 3rd but as is now typical, they lost half their vote share.
  • 4th placed Labour did not lose half their vote, as they have typically done in other by-elections. Instead, they lost two-thirds.
  • The Greens came fifth, having not stood last time. The non-existent "Green surge" didn't help here. They came last with 5%.
  • A key point about this by-election is that it demonstrates where the Lib Dems are strong on the ground and active, challenges from other parties can be beaten back.
Long Eaton North in Derbyshire
  • A Reform hold, by the skin of their teeth. Their majority was 23, over the Conservatives.
  • The Conservatives very nearly pulled a rabbit out of the hat. In pre-Reform times, this would have been an easy win for the Conservatives. It's interesting to note that Labour were on 22%, the Greens on 12% and Lib Dems on 6%. There was a significant Lab/Green/Lib Dem vote but it was clearly reluctant to vote Conservative tactically to beat Reform. In effect the Conservatives handed Reform the seat.
  • The final candidate was an independent on 5%. It could be that this helped split the anti-Reform vote even further, and with such a tight majority, the Independent may actually have decided the outcome.
Stapleford in Broxtowe
  • The appearance of 3 additional parties makes changes in shares of the vote more challenging to interpret.
  • Labour were defending but managed to record a result so bad, it makes many of their other results look reasonable. They had previously been in contention by, yet again, they lost half their share of the vote and came 4th.
  • The contest was won by the Browtowe Alliance which had not previously contested the ward.
  • Reform were 2nd with 22%, well below their usual range.
  • The Lib Dems were 3rd on 13%, a drop of 8%. Clearly there was a failure by the Lib Dems to project themselves as the clear challenger.
  • The Conservatives lost half their vote share and came 5th.
  • There was another independent who came last. This muddied the water further.
Nunthorpe in Middlesbrough
  • A very disappointing result for the Lib Dems as they had a successful defense rate of over 90%. Reform took the seat by the skin of their teeth - 13 votes.
  • The Conservatives had previously been in contention but dropped to 3rd place. Their share dropped by a third, an improvement on their typical performances recently.
  • Labour were never in contention and what little vote they had was squeezed further. They came 5th and last.
  • The Greens stood for the first time and got 5%. Given how close the Reform majority was, it is likely that the Green intervention gave the seat to Reform. Vote Green, get Reform.
So, overall we can see that Labour are starting to fail to contest seats, the Greens are not surging, Reform is continuing to pick up seats, the Conservatives are still losing considerable vote share (as are Labour), beware of Independents pulling off unexpected tricks and the Lib Dems are generally doing well but can suffer an occasional shot across their bows.

Thursday, December 04, 2025

Statistics

I've just been looking at the statistics for my blog. In November, there were 46,742 viewings. Overall, there have been 1,780,942 viewings of the blog and posts since I first set up the blog in February 2006. By next year I hope to have exceeded 2 million though possibly not by the blog's 20th birthday in February. Finally, I have produced 3802 posts so hopefully I should go over 4000 in 2026. There will be plenty to write about as we have all-out elections in Gateshead. Since there is a likelihood of a political earthquake in Gateshead next year, I will be kept busy writing new material.

A minute's silence for Colin


Sunniside History Society met last night for the first time since our former chair, Colin Douglas (pictured above), passed away. We held a minutes silence in his memory before starting the meeting proper.

As this was the December meeting, we had our Christmas quiz and a buffet. As is now our normal practice, I wrote the history quiz. There were four rounds: soap operas, British Prime Ministers, local buildings that are no longer with us, and historical individuals with a link to the North East. The quiz went down well.

Wednesday, December 03, 2025

A Tory/Reform pact?

One of the national newspapers is reporting that Farage is open to some kind of electoral pact at the next general election between Reform and the Conservatives. The suggestion is that each side would stand down in constituencies where they are weaker than the other. I suspect this will never happen. Reform is a coalition. Part of that coalition is a grouping made up of former Labour voters who are socially conservative and are typically on a lower income. They are people who feel they have been abandoned by Labour. They have never voted Conservative in the past and have no intention of voting Conservative in the future. These voters are mainly in the former Red Wall constituencies.

Were there to be a Tory/Reform pact, that Reform coalition could be blown apart. So far, Farage has managed to hold together his Thatcherite wing of former Conservative voters on one side and more left-leaning former Labour voters on the other. This latter group would not rush to vote Conservative. It already looks bad to Labour Reform voters that Reform is being used as a lifeboat for former Tory MPs. If the recent trickle of former Tory MPs to Reform becomes a torrent, Reform will look more and more like Tory Party mark 2. And that could spell the end of the Reform coalition.


Tuesday, December 02, 2025

Belated by-election results

A pile up of Christmas fairs, two sets of Christmas lights switch on ceremonies and a day long manifesto meeting meant my weekly by-election analysis is a bit late (well actually very late!) So let's start with the results.

Hunstanton ward in Kings Lynne and West Norfolk

  • Another Reform gain, this time from the Independents. Reform had not previously stood.
  • Lib Dems came in second, only 46 behind Reform, and like Reform, had not previously stood in the ward.
  • Another ward where the victor took less than 30%.
  • The Independents were defending but dropped to 3rd place.
  • The Conservative performance was dire - dropping from 41% to 18%.
  • Not to be outdone by the Conservatives, Labour also put in a dire performance, dropping from 21% to 3%.
  • Note the absence of a Green candidate.
Barnoldswick in Pendle
  • A comfortable hold for the Lib Dems who started in a really strong position. Improving on that is difficult so the 1.5% increase in vote share was the icing on the cake.
  • Reform had not previously stood. They came second at 26%, at the bottom of the range of typical share for Reform (25-35%).
  • Reform threw the kitchen sink at the ward but their high hopes were squashed.
  • Labour and Conservatives were heavily squeezed.
  • Again, note the absence of a Green candidate.
Hetton in Sunderland
  • A once solid Labour citadel, for about a decade Labour have been crumbling on Sunderland, which neighbours my home town of Gateshead. Labour have been losing seats in all directions in local elections. I hear via various routes that Labour expect to be swept away in Sunderland in the local elections next year. That's the background for the Hetton by-election.
  • Reform won the by-election from Labour who sank to 3rd place, behind an Independent.
  • The Reform share was 46%, comfortably ahead of their typical 25-35% range.
  • Not only were Labour in 3rd place, their vote share was more than halved, a trend typical across the country in by-elections.
  • The Lib Dems came in 4th place with 4%, an increase of 2%. The ward is not on any credible Lib Dem hit list so a 2% increase was interesting.
  • Still no Green candidate.
So the overall picture has not changed over the past few weeks. The Green surge is not happening outside of opinion polls (and some of them show the Green vote wilting). The Conservatives and Labour are continuing to lose substantial vote share. The Lib Dems are doing well in the battle with Reform but need to up their game - two weeks in a row now Reform have pipped the Lib Dems to the post. Nevertheless, where the Lib Dems constantly work the patch, they are successfully seeing off the Reform challenge. And the Reform bandwagon continues. Some recent opinion polls show Reform's vote slipping. There is no evidence for this in council by-elections but let's see what happens over the coming weeks.

Name that party

There was a great deal of comedy coming out of Liverpool over the weekend. Boycotted on the first day to avoid ranting comrade Corbyn's speech to the Your Party, Zarah Sultana made her appearance on Sunday instead. It seems that the Sultana and Corbyn show has had its plug pulled even before they had both agreed to be in the same room as each other. Instead, a politburo of worthies will run the party. Let's fantasize for a moment and imagine Your Party have won the general election. The politburo have moved into 10 Downing Street and they are having endless meetings and votes on the new wallpaper and who gets the best bedroom. Nothing would get done.

As for the name, "Your" is totally meaningless. A party's name tells the world broadly what the party stands for. Calling yourself the "Your Party" does nothing of the sort. It looks like a name that has been agreed because no one could agree on anything else.

Meanwhile, some attending the conference got as far as the main entrance before they were turned away as they are members of the Socialist Workers' Party. There was all sorts of talk about storming the platform. Quite what that would achieve is not clear, other than creating more comedy moments.

So, will this party survive? I suspect that if it makes it to the general election, it will be wiped out. In the meantime, it will split the Labour and Green vote. With British politics so fragmented at the moment, it is rather difficult to work out who will be the beneficiary of this split.

Monday, December 01, 2025

Manifesto meeting

 

Gateshead Lib Dems held another meeting on Sunday to work on the manifesto for the local elections next May. We already had a first draft as a result of our manifesto meeting held in the summer. The meeting yesterday saw us go through the draft in fine detail. Some additions were made, some sections were revised or removed. We had 30 members at the meeting, held at Sunniside Social Club. We also had a session looking at our key messages.

We will be having another meeting in the new year. In the meantime, we will have lots of Focuses to deliver.




Excellent buffet enjoyed by all.

Sunday, November 30, 2025

3 Christmas fairs

 

On Saturday I visited three local Christmas fairs. As already reported, I went to Whickham Library fair in the morning (see photo above), taking 2 of my goats with me to help raise funds. I popped into the building as well to say help to everyone and have a look at what was for sale. By midday the clock was ticking so we packed up the goats, took them back to the farm and then headed to the Whinnies Community Garden in Sunniside for the fair they were holding. (See photo below.)

The final event of the day was the Friends of Sunniside Christmas fair at the Sidegate Gallery in Sunniside. It was tipping down when I walked there and my fear was that the weather would keep people away. I didn't need to be pessimistic. The place was packed. 

My two ward colleagues, Councillors Marilynn Ord and Jonathan Mohammed, were at the event as well. We have been attending the Friends of Sunniside meetings over the past year to help and advise them so we certainly weren't going to miss the Christmas event.

I had high hopes of a win on the Christmas quiz. Alas, it was not to be. I was beaten by one point by Revd Glen MacNight!

Goat fundraising

 




As we have done for many years, we took two of our goats to Whickham Voluntary Library on Saturday for the Christmas fair.  We had lots of questions about them from people going to the fair and from those visiting the local shops. A collecting tin was strategically placed next to the goats. The end result was £119 raised for the Library. Not a bad sum!

Friday, November 28, 2025

Whickham South Focus delivery completed

 

Earlier this month we had an action day in Whickham South and Sunniside ward. At the end of it there were 2 patches left to deliver which I took. My plan was to deliver them a couple of days later. The "couple of days" stretched to a couple of weeks! Council meetings, meetings about the Sunniside Christmas tree, campaign meetings and the weather all conspired to delay the delivery. I eventually got the Focuses delivered on Tuesday this week. Job done! 

The lead story was about the return of post office facilities to the Whickham South area. We also had articles about the Whickham Christmas tree lights switch on, our advice surgeries, Rectory Lane traffic lights and Greggs expanding in St Mary's Green.

Thursday, November 27, 2025

RIP Colin

 

Local history in the Whickham and Sunniside area has lost one of its greatest figures. On Sunday Colin Douglas passed away. Colin had been one of the founders of the Sunniside History Society in 1992 and a mainstay of the organisation for over 20 years. He discovered the bell pits at Lotties Wood, Sunniside and was one of the people behind the Fugar Project which drew out the history of the Washingwell/Watergate area. Colin also persuaded me to take on the role of chair of the Sunniside History Society when he stepped down from the role a decade ago.

I attended Colin's funeral this morning. I promised his family that the History Society would do something next year to commemorate Colin and his work for local history.

The photo above was taken at the launch of the Fugar Project shortly after I had taken over the role of chair.

Wednesday, November 26, 2025

Lights, camera, action

 

I filmed this the very moment the Christmas lights were switched on in Whickham yesterday.

Whickham lights switch on

 

We had a packed out event in Whickham yesterday when the Christmas tree lights were switched on in Church Green. I was there as a steward. I reckon over 500 people attended, mainly kids from the local schools. A great time was had by all.

Tuesday, November 25, 2025

Saltwell action day

Gateshead Lib Dems had another action day, this time on Sunday. The ward we were working was Saltwell. The aim was to deliver about half the ward with the Central Gateshead Focus. While I was out delivering, I kept bumping into other Lib Dems with their bundles of leaflets. Sadly, something went wrong with my patches: I was 100 leaflets short. It will mean squeezing in a return visit to Saltwell this week, in between preparing for or attending Christmas light switch on events.

Final details for Wednesday

Councillors Marilynn Ord and Jonathan Mohammed and I met up with Planting Up Sunniside on Monday evening to sort out the final details of the Sunniside Christmas tree lights switch on event. It is the first community Christmas tree in Sunniside for 7 years so we are all getting rather excited about the event tomorrow. The biggest outstanding job was putting the lights onto the tree. This is no easy job given the size of the tree. The job was actually done today by the council, using one of the cherry pickers.

The big day is tomorrow. Meet at 5pm next to Sun Hill on Sunniside Front Street. The mayor will do the switch on at 5.30pm.

Sunday, November 23, 2025

Bridges action day

 

Gateshead Lib Dems had another action day yesterday, this time in Bridges ward. 90% of the ward was delivered with the latest Focus newsletter. The noticeable point about Bridges ward is the almost complete disappearance of the Labour Party. They are nowhere to be seen despite (currently) holding the ward. I wonder if the rumours we hear are true - that Labour are struggling to find candidates and members prepared to go out campaigning across Gateshead. Meanwhile, lunch was in Tescos. I recommend the halloumi burger.

Whickham surgery

Yesterday I joined the other Whickham Lib Dem councillors to hold our advice surgery in Whickham Library. It was a busy session with quite a few people calling in for advice and help on a range of issues. It was also an opportunity for us to catch up with each other on a list of issues. As soon as the surgery was over, I headed to Bridges ward for an action day.





Full council photos

I wrote about Gateshead's full council meeting last week, before I was able to sort the photos I took in the council chamber. So here are the Lib Dem group members with the occasional Labour member in the background.







Meanwhile, here are a couple of photos of Labour voting against our motion opposing digital ID cards.




Friday, November 21, 2025

By-election analysis

Today we are analysing 7 by-elections, held yesterday. Again, the results were a bit mixed but the trend continues to show no Green surge, Labour and Conservatives doing appallingly badly, Reform's bandwagon is still rolling (though the wheels can sometimes come off) and the Lib Dems doing well but the absence of a handful of votes meant no net gains this week.

Let's start with Dumfries and Galloway (Stranraer and the Rhins ward)

  • On first preferences, Reform were in the lead (just) but Scotland uses the single transferable vote in local elections so topping the poll on first preferences did not deliver victory.
  • The Conservatives were the victors after a number of rounds of vote redistribution, a rare victory for them. The gain was from the Independents.
  • The Conservative victory throws up the interesting prospect that Labour, Green and Lib Dem voters may be voting Conservative tactically to beat Reform, though this is assisted by preferential voting which is a key part of the STV voting system.
Stratford on Avon (Salford Priors and Alcester Rural)
  • A Reform gain from the Conservatives who fell to third place.
  • A case of so-near-and-yet-so-far: Reform's majority was a slender three votes over the Lib Dems.
  • Labour and Greens were squeezed by the Lib Dems but to win next time, the Conservatives are going to have to be squeezed as well. This is a ward where the Conservatives previously took nearly 60% of the vote. Now they are the third party.
Stratford on Avon (Quinton)
  • A 2nd bite of the cherry for Stratford, this was a Lib Dem defence and a comfortable hold with a modest increase in share of the vote.
  • Reform were second on 33%, a typical share of the vote for them in council by-elections.
  • The Conservatives were previously on 41%, breathing down the necks of the Lib Dems. This time, the Conservatives collapsed to 15%. It is possible that some of the drop in Conservative vote share was due to tactical voting to keep Reform out. However, the majority of the lost Conservative votes walked over to the Reform camp, finding themselves a new political home.
  • Green and Labour were squeezed. Labour were in single figures. I've spotted other single figure results for Labour recently but they had all previously been town council elections.
East Sussex County Council (Ashdown and Conquest)
  • Another Reform gain.
  • Formerly a strong Conservative ward, they lost the seat and two thirds of their vote share and dropped to third place.
  • The Greens were the runners up and put in a good performance, taking their vote from less than 10% to 25%.
  • Yet another poor result for Labour. I looked at some of their digital campaigning in which they claimed that the contest was between Reform and Labour. Not many people believed them. Labour came in 4th place. The lesson for all parties is that tactical squeeze messages have to be realistic or otherwise people will see through them.
Cheshire East (Macclesfield Central)
  • At last, something for the Greens to smile about. A Green gain from Labour in which they doubled their share of the vote.
  • A poor result for Reform. They were 3rd and their share of the vote is half what they are typically getting in by-elections.
  • The Labour nightmare continues. Another lost seat and vote share halved.
Trafford (Hale)
  • This by-election has to be the oddest for some time.
  • They must have put the bunting up as this was a gain for the Conservatives. A remarkably healthy 10% increase in share of the vote comfortably put the Conservatives ahead.
  • It was one in and one out for the Greens. Here they lost the ward with their vote share dropping 10%.
  • Reform got only 8%. I wonder if this is the lowest council by-election share so far for Reform.
  • A noticeable absentee was the Labour party. Is this a straw in the wind? Are Labour finding it difficult to get candidates?
Redcar and Cleveland (South Bank)
  • A tiny nugget of positive news for Labour who held the seat despite a strong campaign by Reform. Nevertheless, Labour had previously won over 60%. The ward has gone from safe to marginal.
  • Reform took 44% of the vote, 3% behind Labour. The Reform vote was about 10% above its average by-election vote.
  • The Conservatives were 3rd on 8%. It is not fertile territory for them.
  • And it wasn't fertile for the Lib Dems either. There was no Lib Dem candidate. There are still electoral deserts for the Lib Dems and South Bank is one of them.

Love bombed by Labour

We had full a council meeting yesterday in Gateshead. It started off in a rather unexpected manner. Labour leader Martin Gannon addressed us in an unusually friendly manner. He was considerate in response to views and ideas put forward by Lib Dem Leader Ron Beadle. And even more surprising was Cllr John Adams who heaped praise on my skills in checking grammar, punctuation and spelling. I felt as if I had just been love bombed by Labour!

This little love-in did not last. After the first motion, the unanimity rapidly disappeared. Words were exchanged between the two groups on our call to oppose digital ID cards. Labour voted against the motion. The love-in had ended and everything went back to normal!

Wednesday, November 19, 2025

Locked in at the Civic Centre

 

The AGM of Gateshead Lib Dems was held on Monday evening. There were around 40 members present (it's normally a lot lower!) Officer positions were filled, as were the executive ordinary places. There was also a speech by Ron Beadle, Lib Dem leader on Gateshead Council, about the local elections next year and the work we are putting in to the campaign.

When the meeting finished, we headed downstairs to leave the meeting. Alas, all the doors were locked and we had visions of being trapped in the Civic Centre overnight. Whether we could sleep through the alarm going off was another matter! Security had forgotten to check the meeting rooms but we got word they were on their way. The police beat them to the Civic Centre. Eventually the front door was opened and we were able to leave. A letter of apology from security was received the next morning!



It's up!

 

It's up! The first community Christmas tree in Sunniside since 2018 is now in place. Myself and Councillors Marilynn Ord and Jonathan Mohammed, were determined that this year Sunniside will have a Christmas tree. We've worked with Planting Up Sunniside, the local group that has taken on the task of ensuring we have a tree in the village. We also met with officers to arrange the funding. So, join us at 5pm on Wednesday 26th November for live music, Christmas donkeys and the lights switch on by the mayor. All welcome.

Sunday, November 16, 2025

North East Lib Dem conference with guest star Ed Davey!

 

Today was spent in Spennymoor, enjoying the delights of North East Lib Dems regional conference. There were 13 members from Gateshead, the biggest of any local party. (See photo above.) My thanks to Ron Beadle, Lib Dem Leader of the Opposition in Gateshead who gave a speech about why members should come to Gateshead to help us make gains in the local elections next year. Ron reminded the audience that I have done nearly 39 years on the council. But we also have a team of young members keen to get elected.

In the afternoon, Ed Davey was the guest speaker. I was there with a roving camera, as usual. As you can see, Ed joined the Gateshead members for a photo call. So, a good time was had by all.

Birtley action day

 

Yesterday, Saturday 15th November, 2025, saw yet another Lib Dem action day, this time in Birtley South. I'm not sure how many turned up to help as I was there early and left with two patches to do before helpers started turning up. Most of the ward was however delivered. Just a mopping up operation to complete the job.

Thursday, November 13, 2025

Axing the Police and Crime Commissioners - 6 years late

 

Six years ago I was the Lib Dem candidate in the Northumbria Police and Crime Commissioner by-election. I campaigned simply to have the PCCs abolished. Our regional newspaper, The Journal, put my call on the front page! All the other candidates campaigned to keep the PCCs in place. Today I'm pleased to see that the government are planning to scrap the role. Not before time! PCCs were an expensive experiment that did nothing to bring policing closer to the people. A pity they are six years late!

Merging the PCC role with the regional mayoral position is sensible. I speak as someone who is not necessarily a fan of the current mayoral system but it is the only show in town in terms of English devolution. The overview of policing is a strategic function so it makes sense to put it with the regional mayors. I can see however a problem in the North East. NECA covers two PCCs - Northumbria and Co Durham. The latter includes Darlington which is also part of the Teeside mayoral authority. So there will have to be a carve up to transfer Darlington to the Tees Valley. Hopefully that will not delay the scrapping of PCCs generally.

Wednesday, November 12, 2025

Gateshead West branch meeting

Gateshead West Lib Dem branch meeting was held last night in Winlaton. Most of the meeting was taken up with planning for the local elections next year and with reporting back on ward campaigns. Ward Focuses have been or are about to be delivered in Ryton, Whickham North and Swalwell, Whickham South and Sunniside, Dunston Hill and Whickham East, Birtley North and Lamesley and Birtley South. Notice we are now calling the wards by their new names as we will be fighting the local elections next year under new boundaries. Delivery patches have been revised to take these into account.

The most important issue reported to the meeting was the Christmas dinner! We have booked the Soho Tavern in Kibblesworth. I tried out the restaurant a few weeks ago and can thoroughly recommend it.

Tuesday, November 11, 2025

Photos from Whickham's Remembrance Parade

 

On Sunday, the Remembrance parade and wreath laying service in Whickham took place. It was well attended with over 40 wreaths laid and around 1500 people attending.

You can see our full set of photos of the day on this link.